Question
3: By what year do you think 50% of all
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By 2015, a legitimate experience will be available to the
consumer. It will probably be 1-2 more years for adoption. |
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I think you have to look at Internet usage to answer that
question correctly as TV and Internet have different usage patterns and
gratifications. I would guess 2013 |
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That certainly depends on your definition of interactive TV. The
technology certainly exists, albeit across several different devices. At this
point, I think the |
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I don't think it's that far off. If we define VOD as an iTV
application, as well as other types of 'pulled' TV content off of the
internet, I'd suspect by 2015 at least 50% will be using these types of
services. The real issue is that the service providers are not yet offering
compelling applications, and are not advertising the interactive services
that they do have that might appeal to consumers. (all advertising seems to
be about cost of bundling services, instead) |
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2030 -- if you define ITV as anything more than VOD. For VOD, we
may hit 40% by 2020. |
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2012 |
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Mid-2010, but this defines iTV broadly consisting of EPG and VOD
services. If you use a narrow definition of enhanced TV (iTV overlaying a
video service) add two years to this date. |
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I would say circa 2012-2015, depending on the definition of
interactivity. If we are looking at PPV or Movies on Demand, we are already
there. If a TiVO model is assumed (control of shift TV) then adoption depends
on the PVRs, and we should be there sooner. If a more capable interactive
model is assumed, then we are looking at 2015 or beyond. |
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2011 |
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2020 |
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2050 |
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Including all forms of ITV, I think we will hit this mark in
2010. |
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2011 |
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2015 |
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2020 |
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All technology is 7-10 years away. After all we all have flying
cars in our garages now don't we. |
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Within the next decade, 50% of the TV households will regularly
tune in to an iTV experience. However, that experience will no longer be
screen dependant. It may appear on any digital device including a
Playstation, TV, iPod, PC and next generation mobile phone |
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If by iTV you are referring to IPTV, like HUULU.com and others,
I think that threshold will be reached at the earliest in 2010, and at the
latest 2012. |
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2014, That would include more internet connections to TV |